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The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon

What will Sam Altman say during The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon?

Held

Mon, Dec 8

11:00 PM ET /

Sam Altman

Interview

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance +2 later

1 said 14 not said of 15 words

Not held 0 of 2 past Sam Altman events, 0 of 1 interview

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Sam Altman events Interviews Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore— All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n N
NO Before startBefore— All0/2 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n N N
NO Before startBefore— All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore— All1/1 100% Interviews1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n N
YES Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n N
NO Before startBefore— All1/1 100% Interviews1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n N
NO Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n N
NO Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n N
NO Before startBefore— All0/2 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n N N
NO Before startBefore— All1/2 50% Interviews0/1 0% small n N Y
NO Before startBefore— All1/1 100% Interviews1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore— All— Interviews— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Sam Altman events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • This market will resolve based on what Sam Altman says on the live television broadcast of The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon.
  • Additional content released or streamed online will not be encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
  • For the purpose of this market, previous recordings aired during the event will not count.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Sam Altman says {word} as part of The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. This market will resolve based on what Sam Altman says on the live television broadcast of The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon. Additional content released or streamed online will not be encompassed by the Payout Criterion. For the purpose of this market, previous recordings aired during the event will not count.

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