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Sam Altman at NYT DealBook Summit

What will Sam Altman say during NYT DealBook Summit?

Starts in 7 d 21 h

8:00 AM ET /

Sam Altman

Interview

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Adobe General Politics +2 later

0 said 17 open of 17 words

Not held 0 of 1 past Sam Altman event, 0 of 1 interview Kalshi’s market “Event does not qualify”: Yes bid / ask 1¢ / 13¢

Choose events
Word Yes bid / ask All Sam Altman events Interviews Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

78¢ / 89¢ All1/1 100% Interviews1/1 100% small n Y
63¢ / 74¢ All0/1 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n N
43¢ / 68¢ All— Interviews— —
49¢ / 64¢ All0/1 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n N
16¢ / 48¢ All0/1 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n N
34¢ / 47¢ All1/1 100% Interviews1/1 100% small n Y
26¢ / 46¢ All0/1 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n N
28¢ / 46¢ All1/1 100% Interviews1/1 100% small n Y
31¢ / 44¢ All0/1 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n N
37¢ / 42¢ All0/1 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n N
23¢ / 42¢ All— Interviews— —
35¢ / 42¢ All— Interviews— —
30¢ / 42¢ All1/1 100% Interviews1/1 100% small n Y
23¢ / 35¢ All0/1 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n N
22¢ / 33¢ All0/1 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n N
20¢ / 31¢ All0/1 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n N
14¢ / 24¢ All0/1 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Sam Altman events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Yes bid / ask, such as 70¢ / 75¢: the best price to sell Yes on Kalshi, then the best price to buy it.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Video of the 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 using the original broadcast, stream, or official video release by The New York Times.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Sam Altman says {word} as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 using the original broadcast, stream, or official video release by The New York Times.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Sam Altman speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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