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AOC speaks at March on Washington: Defend the Vote

What will AOC say during March on Washington?

Held

Fri, Aug 28

9:00 AM ET /

AOC

Other

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance Trump +1 later

6 said 9 not said of 15 words

Not held 0 of 7 past AOC events

Choose events
Word Result Before start All AOC events Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

NO Before startBefore14¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore63¢ All3/4 75% Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All1/1 100% Y
NO Before startBefore45¢ All3/6 50% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore22¢ All0/4 0% N N N N
NO Before startBefore78¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore14¢ All3/3 100% Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore83¢ All0/1 0% N
YES Before startBefore53¢ All3/3 100% Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore53¢ All3/4 75% Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore73¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore15¢ All0/5 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore71¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore72¢ All3/6 50% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore92¢ All— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past AOC events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Video of the NAN's March on Washington using the live broadcast or stream.
  • If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the NAN's March on Washington will be used.
  • The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez speaking in an official capacity.
  • For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.
  • Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
  • Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez says {word} as part of NAN's March on Washington, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the NAN's March on Washington using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the NAN's March on Washington will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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