John Ternus speaks at Apple Surprise and Shine
What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?
Held
Wed, Sep 9
1:00 PM ET /
What will John Ternus say at the Apple Event
Speech / announcement
Also now Adobe General Politics +2 later
11 said 14 not said of 25 words
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How to read a row
- k/n: said in k of n past What will John Ternus say at the Apple Event events where the word was a market.
- Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
- small n fewer than 5 past events.
- Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.
Rules
Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico
No other event of this series closed in the 60 days before this one, so there is nothing to compare these rules with.
Each market: If John Ternus says {word} as part of Apple Surprise and Shine address, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules
How this is resolved
Video of the Apple Surprise and Shine address using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Apple Surprise and Shine address will be used.
Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
John Ternus speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.
Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.
Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Cases
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