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Fed Gov Barr speaks on the U.S. economy

What will Fed Gov Barr say during remarks on the state of the U.S. Economy?

Held

Tue, Sep 29

12:40 PM ET /

Barr

Speech / announcement

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
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8 said 7 not said of 15 words

Not held 0 of 6 past Barr events, 0 of 5 speeches / announcements

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Barr events Speeches / announcements Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore23¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / announcements2/3 67% small n Y Y N
YES Before startBefore71¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / announcements2/2 100% small n Y Y N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore5¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore22¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / announcements0/1 0% small n N
YES Before startBefore96¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / announcements1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore18¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / announcements0/1 0% small n N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / announcements1/1 100% small n Y
YES Before startBefore33¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / announcements1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore68¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / announcements1/2 50% small n N Y N
YES Before startBefore84¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore— All1/1 100% Speeches / announcements1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore65¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / announcements1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore7¢ All0/4 0% Speeches / announcements0/3 0% small n N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Barr events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / announcements. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Michael S. Barr says {word} as part of Detroit Economic Club: State of the U.S. Economy originally scheduled for September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Detroit Economic Club: State of the U.S. Economy originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Detroit Economic Club: State of the U.S. Economy originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Michael S. Barr speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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