Mark Carney delivers Liberal Convention Keynote Remarks

What will Mark Carney say during his Liberal Convention Keynote Remarks?

Held

Sat, Apr 11

2:00 PM ET /

Carney

Speech / announcement

Also now +3 later

6 said 7 not said of 13 words

Not held 0 of 6 past Carney events, 0 of 4 speeches / announcements

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Carney events Speeches / announcements Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore92¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / announcements2/3 67% small n N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore70¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / announcements0/2 0% small n N N Y
YES Before startBefore49¢ All3/3 100% Speeches / announcements2/2 100% small n Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore73¢ All3/6 50% Speeches / announcements2/4 50% small n N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore51¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / announcements1/2 50% small n N Y
YES Before startBefore78¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore76¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / announcements— Y
NO Before startBefore43¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / announcements0/2 0% small n N N
NO Before startBefore31¢ All0/4 0% Speeches / announcements0/3 0% small n N N N N
NO Before startBefore59¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / announcements2/3 67% small n Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore44¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / announcements1/2 50% small n N Y Y
YES Before startBefore33¢ All1/5 20% Speeches / announcements1/4 25% small n N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore19¢ All0/5 0% Speeches / announcements0/4 0% small n N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Carney events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / announcements. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Mark Carney says {word} as part of 2026 Liberal National Convention - Keynote Remarks, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the 2026 Liberal National Convention - Keynote Remarks will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 Liberal National Convention - Keynote Remarks will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Mark Carney speaking in an official capacity. If Mark Carney is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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