Mark Carney at NYT DealBook Summit

What will Mark Carney say during NYT DealBook Summit?

Starts in 7 d 20 h

8:00 AM ET /

Carney

Interview

Also now Adobe General Politics +2 later

0 said 16 open of 16 words

Not held 1 of 3 past Carney events Kalshi’s market “Event does not qualify”: Yes bid / ask 3¢ / 13¢

Choose events
Word Yes bid / ask All Carney events Interviews Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

66¢ / 68¢ All2/2 100% Interviews— Y Y
57¢ / 67¢ All1/2 50% Interviews— Y N
59¢ / 66¢ All1/1 100% Interviews— Y
56¢ / 62¢ All2/2 100% Interviews— Y Y
56¢ / 58¢ All2/2 100% Interviews— Y Y
52¢ / 54¢ All1/1 100% Interviews— Y
18¢ / 52¢ All1/2 50% Interviews— Y N
35¢ / 49¢ All0/2 0% Interviews— N N
12¢ / 47¢ All1/2 50% Interviews— Y N
26¢ / 45¢ All— Interviews— —
20¢ / 26¢ All— Interviews— —
25¢ / 26¢ All— Interviews— —
15¢ / 26¢ All— Interviews— —
9¢ / 24¢ All1/2 50% Interviews— Y N
11¢ / 23¢ All— Interviews— —
3¢ / 19¢ All0/2 0% Interviews— N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Carney events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Yes bid / ask, such as 70¢ / 75¢: the best price to sell Yes on Kalshi, then the best price to buy it.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Special for this event

  • Video of the 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 using the original broadcast, stream, or official video release by The New York Times.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Mark Carney says {word} as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 using the original broadcast, stream, or official video release by The New York Times.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Mark Carney speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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