KXCARNEYMENTION-26SEP10

Awaiting results

Time TBA

Carney

Speech / announcement

Also now Adobe General Politics +2 later

0 said 15 open of 15 words

Not held 0 of 2 past Carney events, 0 of 2 speeches / announcements Kalshi’s market “Event does not qualify”: Yes bid / ask 0¢ / 0¢

Choose events
Word Yes bid / ask All Carney events Speeches / announcements Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

0¢ / 0¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / announcements2/2 100% small n Y Y
0¢ / 0¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / announcements2/2 100% small n Y Y
0¢ / 0¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
0¢ / 0¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / announcements1/1 100% small n Y
0¢ / 0¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / announcements0/1 0% small n N
0¢ / 0¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / announcements0/2 0% small n N N
0¢ / 0¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / announcements1/2 50% small n Y N
0¢ / 0¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / announcements0/2 0% small n N N
0¢ / 0¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / announcements1/2 50% small n Y N
0¢ / 0¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
0¢ / 0¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / announcements2/2 100% small n Y Y
0¢ / 0¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
0¢ / 0¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / announcements0/2 0% small n N N
0¢ / 0¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / announcements1/2 50% small n Y N
0¢ / 0¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / announcements0/2 0% small n N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Carney events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Yes bid / ask, such as 70¢ / 75¢: the best price to sell Yes on Kalshi, then the best price to buy it.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Mark Carney says {word} as part of signing ceremony or joint media availability with the President of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the signing ceremony or joint media availability with the President of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelenskyy using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the signing ceremony or joint media availability with the President of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelenskyy will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Mark Carney speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

No cases for this series yet. Case library