Mark Carney addresses the United Nations General Assembly

What will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly?

Not held (DNQ)

Sat, Sep 26

3:00 PM ET /

Carney

Speech / announcement

Also now Adobe General Politics +2 later

0 said 18 not said of 18 words

Not held 0 of 2 past Carney events, 0 of 2 speeches / announcements

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Carney events Speeches / announcements Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

NO Before startBefore1¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / announcements1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / announcements2/2 100% small n Y Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / announcements2/2 100% small n Y Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / announcements0/2 0% small n N N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / announcements0/1 0% small n N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / announcements0/1 0% small n N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / announcements0/2 0% small n N N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore1¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore1¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / announcements1/2 50% small n Y N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / announcements0/2 0% small n N N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / announcements1/2 50% small n Y N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / announcements2/2 100% small n Y Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / announcements0/2 0% small n N N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / announcements1/2 50% small n Y N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore1¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / announcements0/2 0% small n N N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / announcements1/2 50% small n Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Carney events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Special for this event

  • Important information: To be clear, this event will resolve based on Mark Carney’s official address during the General Debate of the 81st United Nations General Assembly, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026.
  • Remarks at press conferences, interviews, side events, bilateral meetings, or separate statements will not count.
  • Markets may close and resolve after the address concludes and the outcomes are verified.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Mark Carney says {word} as part of the United Nations General Assembly, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Important information: To be clear, this event will resolve based on Mark Carney’s official address during the General Debate of the 81st United Nations General Assembly, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026. Remarks at press conferences, interviews, side events, bilateral meetings, or separate statements will not count. Markets may close and resolve after the address concludes and the outcomes are verified.

How this is resolved
Video of the the United Nations General Assembly using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the the United Nations General Assembly will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Mark Carney speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

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