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LA Mayor debate

What will Karen Bass or Nithya Raman say during the LA Mayor debate?

Held

Wed, Aug 19

10:00 PM ET /

Debate

Other

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance +2 later

11 said 8 not said of 19 words

Not held 0 of 7 past Debate events

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Debate events Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

YES Before startBefore85¢ All1/1 100% Y
NO Before startBefore29¢ All5/6 83% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore8¢ All0/3 0% N N N
YES Before startBefore87¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore40¢ All2/3 67% Y Y N
NO Before startBefore13¢ All3/7 43% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore50¢ All1/2 50% Y N
YES Before startBefore94¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore95¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore69¢ All4/5 80% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore37¢ All1/2 50% N Y
YES Before startBefore93¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore79¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore97¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore71¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore26¢ All3/6 50% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore18¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore14¢ All3/3 100% Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore90¢ All— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Debate events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • The event will resolve based on Karen Bass or Nithya Raman speaking in an official capacity.
  • Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Karen Bass or Nithya Raman must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Karen Bass or Nithya Raman says {word} as part of Los Angeles Mayor debate originally scheduled for August 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Los Angeles Mayor debate originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Los Angeles Mayor debate originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Karen Bass or Nithya Raman speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Karen Bass or Nithya Raman must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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