Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate

What will the candidates say during the Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate?

Held

Fri, Aug 21

8:00 AM ET /

Debate

Other

Also now JD Vance +2 later

13 said 5 not said of 18 words

Not held 0 of 8 past Debate events

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Debate events Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

YES Before startBefore99¢ All5/7 71% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All3/4 75% Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All3/5 60% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All0/1 0% N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All7/7 100% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All5/5 100% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All3/8 38% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All1/1 100% Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All5/6 83% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All1/1 100% Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All2/2 100% Y Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All3/3 100% Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All0/1 0% N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All1/1 100% Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All3/7 43% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All1/2 50% Y N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All2/2 100% Y Y
NO Before startBefore2¢ All— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Debate events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If any participating candidate says {word} as part of Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on any participating candidate speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — any participating candidate must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

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