California Governor Debate
What will the candidates say during the California Governor Debate?
Held
Thu, May 14
8:00 PM ET /
Debate
Other
Also now JD Vance Trump +1 later
13 said 4 not said of 17 words
No past events of this speaker in our data yet.
No past events with this word yet.
No past events with this word yet.
How to read a row
- k/n: said in k of n past Debate events where the word was a market.
- Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
- small n fewer than 5 past events.
- Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.
Rules
Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico
No other event of this series closed in the 60 days before this one, so there is nothing to compare these rules with.
Each market: If any participating candidate says {word} as part of California Governor Debate originally scheduled for May 14th, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules
Video of the California Governor Debate originally scheduled for May 14th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the California Governor Debate originally scheduled for May 14th will be used.
Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.
Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on any participating candidate speaking in an official capacity. If any participating candidate is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Cases
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