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Iowa Senate Debate

What will the candidates say during Iowa Senate debate?

Held

Wed, Oct 7

8:00 PM ET /

Debate

Other

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Adobe General Politics +2 later

15 said 4 not said of 19 words

Not held 0 of 1 past Debate event

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Debate events Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

NO Before startBefore54¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore58¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore75¢ All1/1 100% Y
YES Before startBefore79¢ All1/1 100% Y
YES Before startBefore85¢ All1/1 100% Y
YES Before startBefore83¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore80¢ All0/1 0% N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All1/1 100% Y
NO Before startBefore16¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore74¢ All1/1 100% Y
YES Before startBefore89¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore89¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore95¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore95¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore59¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore88¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore95¢ All0/1 0% N
YES Before startBefore60¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore64¢ All1/1 100% Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Debate events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If any participating candidate says {word} as part of Iowa Press Debates: U.S. Senate originally scheduled for October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Iowa Press Debates: U.S. Senate originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Iowa Press Debates: U.S. Senate originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
any participating candidate speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

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