Elon Musk at NYT DealBook Summit

What will Elon Musk say during NYT DealBook Summit?

Starts in 7 d 21 h

8:00 AM ET / 13:00 UTC

Elon

Interview

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event

Also now Adobe General Politics +2 later

0 said 17 open of 17 words

Kalshi’s market “Event does not qualify”: Yes bid / ask 10¢ / 21¢

No past events of this speaker in our data yet.

Word Yes bid / ask All Elon events Interviews Last 5, newest first

Grok new word 68¢ / 79¢ All— Interviews— —

AI / Artificial Intelligence new word 67¢ / 71¢ All— Interviews— —

Tesla new word 56¢ / 65¢ All— Interviews— —

Starship new word 52¢ / 64¢ All— Interviews— —

Starlink new word 51¢ / 63¢ All— Interviews— —

China / Chinese new word 50¢ / 60¢ All— Interviews— —

Satellite new word 46¢ / 57¢ All— Interviews— —

Trump new word 44¢ / 55¢ All— Interviews— —

Optimus new word 36¢ / 50¢ All— Interviews— —

Nvidia new word 36¢ / 45¢ All— Interviews— —

OpenAI / Altman new word 37¢ / 43¢ All— Interviews— —

Robotaxi / Cybercab new word 32¢ / 43¢ All— Interviews— —

Starbase new word 33¢ / 42¢ All— Interviews— —

Mars new word 27¢ / 39¢ All— Interviews— —

DOGE / Department Of Government Efficiency new word 28¢ / 36¢ All— Interviews— —

Meridian new word 15¢ / 30¢ All— Interviews— —

Colossus new word 14¢ / 24¢ All— Interviews— —

How to read a row

k/n: said in k of n past Elon events where the word was a market.
Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
small n fewer than 5 past events.
Yes bid / ask, such as 70¢ / 75¢: the best price to sell Yes on Kalshi, then the best price to buy it.
Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

No other event of this series closed in the 60 days before this one, so there is nothing to compare these rules with.

Each market: If Elon Musk says {word} as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 using the original broadcast, stream, or official video release by The New York Times.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Elon Musk speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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