mentions.tools

Joe Manchin joins One Nation with Brian Kilmeade

What will Joe Manchin say during Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade?

Held

Sun, Aug 23

10:00 PM ET /

Fox News

Interview

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +3 later

4 said 7 not said of 11 words

Not held 2 of 61 past Fox News events, 2 of 61 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Fox News events Interviews Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

NO Before startBefore21¢ All0/2 0% Interviews0/2 0% small n N N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All3/10 30% Interviews3/10 30% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All2/21 10% Interviews2/21 10% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore36¢ All1/3 33% Interviews1/3 33% small n N Y N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All18/27 67% Interviews18/27 67% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore71¢ All5/21 24% Interviews5/21 24% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore26¢ All7/15 47% Interviews7/15 47% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore26¢ All6/19 32% Interviews6/19 32% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore77¢ All1/2 50% Interviews1/2 50% small n Y N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All3/6 50% Interviews3/6 50% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore75¢ All23/37 62% Interviews23/37 62% N Y Y N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Fox News events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Joe Manchin speaking in an official capacity.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Joe Manchin says {word} as part of Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Joe Manchin speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

No cases for this series yet. Case library