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Rand Pau joins The Will Cain Show

What will Rand Paul say during Fox News: The Will Cain Show?

Held

Wed, Jul 29

4:00 PM ET /

Fox News

Interview

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance +2 later

5 said 8 not said of 13 words

Not held 2 of 55 past Fox News events, 2 of 55 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Fox News events Interviews Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

YES Before startBefore51¢ All7/14 50% Interviews7/14 50% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore61¢ All1/4 25% Interviews1/4 25% small n N N N Y
YES Before startBefore68¢ All5/7 71% Interviews5/7 71% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore66¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore63¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore44¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore28¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore24¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore58¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore79¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore60¢ All21/34 62% Interviews21/34 62% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore46¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore61¢ All— Interviews— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Fox News events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • The event will resolve based on Rand Paul speaking in an official capacity.
  • Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Rand Paul must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Rand Paul says {word} as part of Fox News: The Will Cain Show, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Fox News: The Will Cain Show will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: The Will Cain Show will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Rand Paul speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Rand Paul must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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