Arizona Governor Debate
What will the candidates say during the Arizona Governor Debate?
Held
Wed, Jun 17
9:00 PM ET /
Generic Governor
Other
Also now +3 later
8 said 8 not said of 16 words
Not held 0 of 18 past Generic Governor events
Last 5: Said Not said
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Andy Beshear holds a NAN Fireside Chat | Speech / announcement | YES | 59¢ | 84¢ | 2.4k | past market |
| Apr 9, 2026 | JB Pritzker holds NAN Fireside Chat | Speech / announcement | YES | — | 91¢ | 1.4k | past market |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Wes Moore holds a NAN Fireside Chat | Speech / announcement | YES | 53¢ | 41¢ | 6.6k | past market |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Wes Moore on CBS Townhall | Interview | YES | — | — | 19.3k | past market |
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Andy Beshear holds a Team Kentucky Update | Other | NO | 45¢ | 1¢ | 4.5k | past market |
| Mar 7, 2026 | MrBeast Youtube Video | Speech / announcement | NO | — | — | 26.7k | past market |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Tony Evers delivers 2026 State of the State Address | Speech / announcement | YES | — | — | 5.9k | past market |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Wes Moore on CBS Townhall | Interview | NO | — | — | 93.9k | past market |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Kelly Ayotte delivers her State of the State Address | Speech / announcement | NO | — | — | 7.8k | past market |
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Greg Abbott delivers a CPAC speech | Speech / announcement | YES | 86¢ | 60¢ | 2.6k | past market |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Kelly Ayotte delivers her State of the State Address | Speech / announcement | NO | — | — | 5.8k | past market |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Bill Lee delivers Tennessee State of the State Address | Speech / announcement | NO | — | — | 33.1k | past market |
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | Kevin Stitt delivers State of the State Address | Speech / announcement | YES | — | — | 20.7k | past market |
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | MrBeast Youtube Video | Speech / announcement | NO | — | — | 22.3k | past market |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Tony Evers delivers 2026 State of the State Address | Speech / announcement | YES | — | — | 5.8k | past market |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Kevin Stitt delivers State of the State Address | Speech / announcement | NO | — | — | 37.7k | past market |
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Greg Abbott delivers a CPAC speech | Speech / announcement | YES | — | 87¢ | 3.7k | past market |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Wes Moore on CBS Townhall | Interview | YES | — | — | 78k | past market |
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Greg Abbott delivers a CPAC speech | Speech / announcement | NO | — | 1¢ | 2.8k | past market |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Janet Mills delivers her State of the State | Other | NO | — | — | 16.6k | past market |
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Andy Beshear holds a Team Kentucky Update | Other | YES | 69¢ | 67¢ | 2.3k | past market |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Andy Beshear holds a NAN Fireside Chat | Speech / announcement | YES | 45¢ | 63¢ | 5.3k | past market |
| Apr 9, 2026 | JB Pritzker holds NAN Fireside Chat | Speech / announcement | YES | — | 46¢ | 3.8k | past market |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Wes Moore holds a NAN Fireside Chat | Speech / announcement | NO | 57¢ | 1¢ | 912 | past market |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Josh Shapiro holds NAN Fireside Chat | Speech / announcement | YES | — | 88¢ | 1.6k | past market |
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Andy Beshear holds a NAN Fireside Chat | Speech / announcement | YES | 58¢ | 80¢ | 2.6k | past market |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Wes Moore holds a NAN Fireside Chat | Speech / announcement | YES | 64¢ | 58¢ | 4.1k | past market |
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Andy Beshear holds a Team Kentucky Update | Other | NO | — | 1¢ | 641 | past market |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Andy Beshear holds a NAN Fireside Chat | Speech / announcement | YES | 45¢ | 72¢ | 2.9k | past market |
| Apr 9, 2026 | JB Pritzker holds NAN Fireside Chat | Speech / announcement | NO | — | 1¢ | 6.4k | past market |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Wes Moore holds a NAN Fireside Chat | Speech / announcement | YES | 47¢ | 50¢ | 7.5k | past market |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Josh Shapiro holds NAN Fireside Chat | Speech / announcement | YES | — | 58¢ | 1.6k | past market |
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Andy Beshear holds a Team Kentucky Update | Other | NO | — | 1¢ | 211 | past market |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Andy Beshear holds a NAN Fireside Chat | Speech / announcement | NO | 27¢ | 1¢ | 4.9k | past market |
| Mar 7, 2026 | MrBeast Youtube Video | Speech / announcement | YES | — | — | 2.3k | past market |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Tony Evers delivers 2026 State of the State Address | Speech / announcement | YES | — | — | 9k | past market |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Wes Moore on CBS Townhall | Interview | NO | — | — | 15k | past market |
How to read a row
- k/n: said in k of n past Generic Governor events where the word was a market.
- Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
- small n fewer than 5 past events.
- Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.
Rules
Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico
No other event of this series closed in the 60 days before this one, so there is nothing to compare these rules with.
Each market: If any participating candidate says {word} as part of Arizona Primary Debate - Governor - Republican Primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules
Video of the Arizona Primary Debate - Governor - Republican Primary will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Arizona Primary Debate - Governor - Republican Primary will be used.
Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.
Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on any participating candidate speaking in an official capacity. If any participating candidate is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Cases
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