Arizona Governor Debate

What will the candidates say during the Arizona Governor Debate?

Held

Wed, Jun 17

9:00 PM ET /

Generic Governor

Other

Also now JD Vance +2 later

8 said 8 not said of 16 words

Not held 0 of 18 past Generic Governor events

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Generic Governor events Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

YES Before startBefore91¢ All4/4 100% Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore78¢ All4/9 44% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore41¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore88¢ All1/3 33% Y N N
NO Before startBefore55¢ All1/1 100% Y
YES Before startBefore63¢ All1/3 33% N Y N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All2/2 100% Y Y
YES Before startBefore75¢ All0/2 0% N N
YES Before startBefore63¢ All10/11 91% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore78¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore33¢ All2/2 100% Y Y
YES Before startBefore75¢ All3/5 60% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore73¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore12¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore21¢ All4/7 57% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore82¢ All— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Generic Governor events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

No other event of this series closed in the 60 days before this one, so there is nothing to compare these rules with.

Each market: If any participating candidate says {word} as part of Arizona Primary Debate - Governor - Republican Primary, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Arizona Primary Debate - Governor - Republican Primary will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Arizona Primary Debate - Governor - Republican Primary will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on any participating candidate speaking in an official capacity. If any participating candidate is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

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