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SPLC manufacturing hate hearing

What will the witness say during the SPLC manufacturing hate hearing?

Held

Tue, Jun 9

10:00 AM ET /

Hearing

Other

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance Trump +1 later

9 said 8 not said of 17 words

Not held 1 of 17 past Hearing events

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Hearing events Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

YES Before startBefore68¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore57¢ All7/9 78% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore82¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore36¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore68¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore1¢ All0/2 0% N N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore95¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore50¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore91¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore84¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore39¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore26¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore59¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore50¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore56¢ All0/1 0% N
NO Before startBefore45¢ All0/1 0% N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Hearing events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If any participating witness says {word} as part of The House Judiciary Committee - The Southern Poverty Law Center: Manufacturing Hate, Part II, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the The House Judiciary Committee - The Southern Poverty Law Center: Manufacturing Hate, Part II will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the The House Judiciary Committee - The Southern Poverty Law Center: Manufacturing Hate, Part II will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on any participating witness speaking in an official capacity. If any participating witness is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

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