Pete Hegseth delivers Keynote at National Defense Forum
What will Pete Hegseth say during the National Defense Forum?
Held
Sat, Dec 6
2:45 PM ET /
Hegseth
Speech / announcement
Also now Hegseth Adobe +2 later
7 said 5 not said of 12 words
Not held 0 of 2 past Hegseth events, 0 of 1 speech / announcement
Last 5: Said Not said Other format
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Pete Hegseth defense reform speech | Speech / announcement | NO | — | — | 4.1k | past market |
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Pete Hegseth defense reform speech | Speech / announcement | NO | — | — | 8.9k | past market |
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Pete Hegseth defense reform speech | Speech / announcement | YES | — | — | 9.5k | past market |
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Pete Hegseth defense reform speech | Speech / announcement | NO | — | — | 3.2k | past market |
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Pete Hegseth defense reform speech | Speech / announcement | YES | — | — | 7k | past market |
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Pete Hegseth defense reform speech | Speech / announcement | YES | — | — | 3.3k | past market |
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Pete Hegseth defense reform speech | Speech / announcement | NO | — | — | 3.5k | past market |
| Jun 22, 2025 | What will Hegseth say at his Press Conference with General Caine? | Press conference | YES | — | — | 366 | past market |
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Pete Hegseth defense reform speech | Speech / announcement | YES | — | — | 5.7k | past market |
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Pete Hegseth defense reform speech | Speech / announcement | NO | — | — | 26.7k | past market |
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How to read a row
- k/n: said in k of n past Hegseth events where the word was a market.
- Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / announcements. Last 5 runs newest first.
- small n fewer than 5 past events.
- Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.
Rules
Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico
Special for this event
- This market will resolve based on what Pete Hegseth says on the live television broadcast of the 2025 Reagan National Defense Forum.
- Additional content released or streamed online will not be encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- For the purpose of this market, previous recordings aired during the event will not count.
Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.
Each market: If Pete Hegseth says {word} as part of 2025 Reagan National Defense Forum, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules
Video of the 2025 Reagan National Defense Forum will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the 2025 Reagan National Defense Forum will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. This market will resolve based on what Pete Hegseth says on the live television broadcast of the 2025 Reagan National Defense Forum. Additional content released or streamed online will not be encompassed by the Payout Criterion. For the purpose of this market, previous recordings aired during the event will not count.
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