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Pete Hegseth joins the Department of Defense budget hearing

What will Pete Hegseth say during the Department of Defense budget hearing?

Held

Wed, Apr 29

10:00 AM ET /

Hegseth

Other

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Also now Hegseth Adobe +2 later

14 said 6 not said of 20 words

Not held 1 of 11 past Hegseth events

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Word Result Before start All Hegseth events Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

NO Before startBefore— All1/1 100% Y
NO Before startBefore— All4/7 57% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All— —
NO Before startBefore— All— —
YES Before startBefore— All6/9 67% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All— —
NO Before startBefore— All2/7 29% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore— All2/2 100% Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All4/7 57% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore— All7/7 100% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All1/1 100% Y
NO Before startBefore— All— —
YES Before startBefore— All7/8 88% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All2/6 33% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore— All2/7 29% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore— All— —
YES Before startBefore— All0/1 0% N
YES Before startBefore— All— —
YES Before startBefore— All1/1 100% Y
YES Before startBefore— All— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Hegseth events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Pete Hegseth says {word} as part of House Armed Services Committee - Department of Defense FY27 Budget Request, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the House Armed Services Committee - Department of Defense FY27 Budget Request will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Armed Services Committee - Department of Defense FY27 Budget Request will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Pete Hegseth speaking in an official capacity. If Pete Hegseth is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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