mentions.tools

Steve Hilton in the California gubernatorial debate

What will Steve Hilton say during the California gubernatorial debate?

Held

Tue, May 5

9:00 PM ET /

Steve Hilton

Interview

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +3 later

10 said 4 not said of 14 words

Not held 0 of 1 past Steve Hilton event

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Steve Hilton events Interviews Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore91¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore31¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore47¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore83¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore44¢ All0/1 0% Interviews— N
NO Before startBefore52¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore89¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore38¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore70¢ All1/1 100% Interviews— Y
YES Before startBefore43¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore29¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore62¢ All1/1 100% Interviews— Y
YES Before startBefore51¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore48¢ All0/1 0% Interviews— N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Steve Hilton events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
  • Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Steve Hilton says {word} as part of CNN California gubernatorial primary debate, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the CNN California gubernatorial primary debate will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the CNN California gubernatorial primary debate will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Steve Hilton speaking in an official capacity. If Steve Hilton is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

No cases for this series yet. Case library