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Jensen Huang delivers Carnegie Mellon Commencement Keynote

What will Jensen Huang say during the Carnegie Mellon Commencement Keynote?

Held

Sun, May 10

10:00 AM ET /

Jensen

Speech / announcement

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance +2 later

5 said 8 not said of 13 words

Not held 0 of 4 past Jensen events, 0 of 3 speeches / announcements

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Jensen events Speeches / announcements Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore16¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore17¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore25¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / announcements1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / announcements2/3 67% small n N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore48¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore20¢ All3/3 100% Speeches / announcements3/3 100% small n Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore67¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore61¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore29¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore40¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / announcements1/1 100% small n Y Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / announcements1/3 33% small n N N N Y
NO Before startBefore17¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Jensen events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / announcements. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • Video of the Carnegie Mellon University Commencement Keynote will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Carnegie Mellon University Commencement Keynote will be used.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
  • If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
  • The event will resolve based on Jensen Huang speaking in an official capacity.
  • If Jensen Huang is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
  • If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Jensen Huang says {word} as part of Carnegie Mellon University Commencement Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Carnegie Mellon University Commencement Keynote will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Carnegie Mellon University Commencement Keynote will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Jensen Huang speaking in an official capacity. If Jensen Huang is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

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