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Jamie Raskin joins The Last Word With Lawrence O’Donnell

What will Jamie Raskin say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell?

Held

Tue, Aug 11

10:00 PM ET /

Last Word

Interview

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5 said 6 not said of 11 words

Not held 1 of 48 past Last Word events, 1 of 48 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Last Word events Interviews Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

NO Before startBefore35¢ All7/32 22% Interviews7/32 22% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore74¢ All0/2 0% Interviews0/2 0% small n N N
YES Before startBefore64¢ All1/1 100% Interviews1/1 100% small n Y
YES Before startBefore2¢ All15/31 48% Interviews15/31 48% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore57¢ All12/23 52% Interviews12/23 52% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore33¢ All12/20 60% Interviews12/20 60% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore35¢ All9/19 47% Interviews9/19 47% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore51¢ All10/19 53% Interviews10/19 53% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore61¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore68¢ All21/42 50% Interviews21/42 50% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore80¢ All8/12 67% Interviews8/12 67% N N Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Last Word events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • The event will resolve based on Jamie Raskin speaking in an official capacity.
  • Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Jamie Raskin must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Jamie Raskin says {word} as part of The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Jamie Raskin speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Jamie Raskin must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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