Raphael Warnock joins The Last Word With Lawrence O’Donnell

What will Raphael Warnock say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell?

Held

Wed, Oct 7

10:00 PM ET /

Last Word

Interview

Also now Hegseth Adobe +2 later

7 said 7 not said of 14 words

Not held 1 of 62 past Last Word events, 1 of 62 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Last Word events Interviews Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

YES Before startBefore39¢ All11/46 24% Interviews11/46 24% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore25¢ All5/17 29% Interviews5/17 29% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore36¢ All18/40 45% Interviews18/40 45% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore56¢ All4/8 50% Interviews4/8 50% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore65¢ All18/34 53% Interviews18/34 53% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All1/3 33% Interviews1/3 33% small n N Y N
YES Before startBefore56¢ All18/31 58% Interviews18/31 58% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All1/19 5% Interviews1/19 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore33¢ All14/28 50% Interviews14/28 50% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore39¢ All13/30 43% Interviews13/30 43% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All0/8 0% Interviews0/8 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore73¢ All27/55 49% Interviews27/55 49% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore37¢ All4/5 80% Interviews4/5 80% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore57¢ All11/20 55% Interviews11/20 55% N Y N N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Last Word events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Special for this event

  • Raphael Warnock speaking in an official capacity.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Raphael Warnock says {word} as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Raphael Warnock speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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