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Zohran Mamdani Inauguration

What will Zohran Mamdani say during his inauguration?

Held

Thu, Jan 1

1:00 PM ET /

Zohran Mamdani

Speech / ceremony

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +1 later

9 said 7 not said of 16 words

Not held 0 of 8 past Zohran Mamdani events, 0 of 1 speech / ceremony

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Word Result Before start All Zohran Mamdani events Speeches / ceremonies Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore92¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies— Y N
YES Before startBefore87¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n N N
YES Before startBefore64¢ All2/6 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore50¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies— N N N
YES Before startBefore78¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Y
NO Before startBefore25¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— —
NO Before startBefore73¢ All5/5 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore46¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— —
YES Before startBefore85¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Y
NO Before startBefore30¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— N
YES Before startBefore68¢ All0/4 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n N N N N
NO Before startBefore59¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Y Y
NO Before startBefore68¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore14¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— N
YES Before startBefore43¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies— N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore58¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Zohran Mamdani events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: NYC Mayors Office

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Special for this event

  • Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
  • Previous recordings aired during this event will not count.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Zohran Mamdani says {word} as part of ceremonial inauguration at City Hall on January 1st, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the ceremonial inauguration at City Hall on January 1st will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the ceremonial inauguration at City Hall on January 1st will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. Previous recordings aired during this event will not count.

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