Mayor Mamdani Holds Security Briefing Ahead of the West Indian Day Parade

What will Mamdani say during his announcement?

Held

Fri, Sep 4

1:00 PM ET /

Zohran Mamdani

Speech / ceremony

Also now Trump +1 later

5 said 9 not said of 14 words

Not held 4 of 144 past Zohran Mamdani events, 3 of 113 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Zohran Mamdani events Speeches / ceremonies Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

YES Before startBefore40¢ All75/111 68% Speeches / ceremonies59/91 65% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore6¢ All2/23 9% Speeches / ceremonies2/22 9% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore4¢ All4/75 5% Speeches / ceremonies3/61 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore6¢ All0/5 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/5 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore— All34/108 31% Speeches / ceremonies28/96 29% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore38¢ All50/65 77% Speeches / ceremonies47/60 78% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore4¢ All7/34 21% Speeches / ceremonies3/25 12% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore— All33/76 43% Speeches / ceremonies24/59 41% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore14¢ All16/51 31% Speeches / ceremonies9/38 24% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore6¢ All1/6 17% Speeches / ceremonies1/6 17% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore97¢ All38/113 34% Speeches / ceremonies31/96 32% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore97¢ All54/74 73% Speeches / ceremonies45/62 73% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore5¢ All0/5 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/5 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore22¢ All49/98 50% Speeches / ceremonies39/81 48% N N N N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Zohran Mamdani events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Special for this event

  • For the purposes of this market, “next NYC Mayor's Office announcement” refers to the first livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office main YouTube channel (@NYCMayorsOffice) after September 02, 2026 08:00 PM.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Zohran Mamdani says {word} as part of next NYC Mayor's Office announcement, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
For the purposes of this market, “next NYC Mayor's Office announcement” refers to the first livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office main YouTube channel (@NYCMayorsOffice) after September 02, 2026 08:00 PM. The livestream will resolve based on Zohran Mamdani speaking in an official capacity. If Zohran Mamdani is present during a livestream, but does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Additional source agency streams can be used in the event of technical outages or if the NYC Mayor's Office ends the stream prior to the conclusion of the event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.