First Lady Announcement
What will Melania say during the Announcement?
Held
Fri, Oct 10
11:00 AM ET /
Melania
Speech / announcement
Also now Adobe General Politics +2 later
2 said 14 not said of 16 words
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How to read a row
- k/n: said in k of n past Melania events where the word was a market.
- Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
- small n fewer than 5 past events.
- Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.
Rules
Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico
No other event of this series closed in the 60 days before this one, so there is nothing to compare these rules with.
Each market: If Melania Trump says {word} as part of Announcement on October 10th, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules
Video of the Announcement on October 10th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Announcement on October 10th will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details.
Cases
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