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Melania makes a IndyCar announcement

What will Melania say during her IndyCar announcement?

Held

Thu, Aug 20

4:00 PM ET /

Melania

Interview

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
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8 said 4 not said of 12 words

Not held 1 of 14 past Melania events, 0 of 2 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Melania events Interviews Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore99¢ All5/11 45% Interviews1/2 50% small n N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore4¢ All1/3 33% Interviews— N Y N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All6/6 100% Interviews— Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore5¢ All2/13 15% Interviews0/2 0% small n N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All2/5 40% Interviews— Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All2/6 33% Interviews0/1 0% small n N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore99¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore99¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore6¢ All3/5 60% Interviews— Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore9¢ All3/7 43% Interviews— N Y Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Melania events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

No other event of this series closed in the 60 days before this one, so there is nothing to compare these rules with.

Each market: If Melania Trump says {word} as part of IndyCar and Fox Corporation in Landmark Strategic Alliance to Expand Fostering the Future announcement, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the IndyCar and Fox Corporation in Landmark Strategic Alliance to Expand Fostering the Future announcement will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the IndyCar and Fox Corporation in Landmark Strategic Alliance to Expand Fostering the Future announcement will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Melania Trump speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Melania Trump must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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