Obama holds Presidential Center Dedication Ceremony

What will Obama say during his Presidential Center Dedication Ceremony?

Held

Thu, Jun 18

12:00 PM ET /

Obama

Speech / announcement

Also now +3 later

8 said 5 not said of 13 words

Not held 0 of 1 past Obama event

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Obama events Speeches / announcements Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore55¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / announcements— N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / announcements— N
NO Before startBefore34¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / announcements— N
YES Before startBefore53¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / announcements— N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore48¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / announcements— N
NO Before startBefore35¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore23¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / announcements— N
YES Before startBefore15¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore88¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore98¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore83¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore10¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / announcements— N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Obama events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / announcements. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Special for this event

  • The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Barack Obama says {word} as part of Obama Presidential Center Dedication Ceremony, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Obama Presidential Center Dedication Ceremony will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Obama Presidential Center Dedication Ceremony will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Barack Obama speaking in an official capacity. If Barack Obama is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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