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Obama holds midterm rally in Atlanta

What will Obama say during his rally in Atlanta?

Held

Wed, Oct 28

7:00 PM ET /

Obama

Rally

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Adobe General Politics +2 later

12 said 13 not said of 25 words

Not held 0 of 1 past Obama event, 0 of 1 rally

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Obama events Rallies Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

NO Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Rallies0/1 0% small n N
YES Before startBefore82¢ All1/1 100% Rallies1/1 100% small n Y
YES Before startBefore74¢ All1/1 100% Rallies1/1 100% small n Y
YES Before startBefore74¢ All1/1 100% Rallies1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore18¢ All0/1 0% Rallies0/1 0% small n N
YES Before startBefore81¢ All1/1 100% Rallies1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Rallies0/1 0% small n N
NO Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Rallies0/1 0% small n N
NO Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Rallies0/1 0% small n N
NO Before startBefore49¢ All— Rallies— —
YES Before startBefore74¢ All0/1 0% Rallies0/1 0% small n N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All1/1 100% Rallies1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore33¢ All0/1 0% Rallies0/1 0% small n N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All0/1 0% Rallies0/1 0% small n N
YES Before startBefore69¢ All1/1 100% Rallies1/1 100% small n Y
YES Before startBefore78¢ All1/1 100% Rallies1/1 100% small n Y
YES Before startBefore57¢ All— Rallies— —
YES Before startBefore74¢ All1/1 100% Rallies1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Rallies0/1 0% small n N
NO Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Rallies0/1 0% small n N
YES Before startBefore72¢ All1/1 100% Rallies1/1 100% small n Y
YES Before startBefore82¢ All1/1 100% Rallies1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore70¢ All0/1 0% Rallies0/1 0% small n N
NO Before startBefore66¢ All1/1 100% Rallies1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Rallies0/1 0% small n N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Obama events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Video of the Rally with President Barack Obama, Keisha Lance Bottoms, and Jon Ossoff in Atlanta originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
  • If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Rally with President Barack Obama, Keisha Lance Bottoms, and Jon Ossoff in Atlanta originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 will be used.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Barack Obama says {word} as part of Rally with President Barack Obama, Keisha Lance Bottoms, and Jon Ossoff in Atlanta originally scheduled for October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Rally with President Barack Obama, Keisha Lance Bottoms, and Jon Ossoff in Atlanta originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Rally with President Barack Obama, Keisha Lance Bottoms, and Jon Ossoff in Atlanta originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Barack Obama speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

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