mentions.tools

OpenAI livestream

What will OpenAI say during their livestream?

Held

Tue, Apr 21

3:00 PM ET /

General

Other

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance +2 later

3 said 10 not said of 13 words

Not held 1 of 28 past General events

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Word Result Before start All General events Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

NO Before startBefore50¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore29¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore10¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore59¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore50¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore57¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore6¢ All0/12 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore29¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore62¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore32¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore20¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore11¢ All5/10 50% N N Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past General events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • The event will resolve based on any OpenAI representative speaking in an official capacity.
  • If any OpenAI representative is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If any OpenAI representative says {word} as part of OpenAI livestream on April 21st, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the OpenAI livestream on April 21st will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the OpenAI livestream on April 21st will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on any OpenAI representative speaking in an official capacity. If any OpenAI representative is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

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