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Rand Paul joins the 11th Hour

What will Rand Paul say during his MS NOW interview?

Held

Wed, Apr 22

11:00 PM ET /

General

Interview

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance +2 later

1 said 12 not said of 13 words

Not held 1 of 30 past General events, 1 of 2 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All General events Interviews Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore32¢ All2/2 100% Interviews— Y Y
NO Before startBefore53¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore37¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore49¢ All0/2 0% Interviews— N N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All1/3 33% Interviews— Y N N
NO Before startBefore37¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore18¢ All3/3 100% Interviews1/1 100% small n Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore40¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore41¢ All0/1 0% Interviews— N
NO Before startBefore89¢ All0/1 0% Interviews— N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore44¢ All0/1 0% Interviews— N
NO Before startBefore90¢ All5/12 42% Interviews1/1 100% small n N N N N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past General events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
  • Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
  • The event will resolve based on Rand Paul speaking in an official capacity.
  • If Rand Paul is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Rand Paul says {word} as part of MS NOW: 11th Hour, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the MS NOW: 11th Hour will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the MS NOW: 11th Hour will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Rand Paul speaking in an official capacity. If Rand Paul is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

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