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Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest

What will the announcers say during the Hot Dog Eating Contest?

Held

Sat, Jul 4

12:00 PM ET /

General

Other

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Also now +3 later

0 said 11 not said of 11 words

Not held 1 of 53 past General events

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Word Result Before start All General events Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

NO Before startBefore86¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore22¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore42¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore37¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore38¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore71¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore39¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore48¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore23¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore5¢ All9/20 45% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past General events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • Commentary will count following the start of the Mens competition and end once the time has expired; if a tie occurs commentary will continue to count until the conclusion of the sudden death eat-off.
  • The event will resolve based on any ESPN broadcast announcer, excluding the ring announcer speaking in an official capacity.
  • If any ESPN broadcast announcer, excluding the ring announcer is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If any ESPN broadcast announcer, excluding the ring announcer says {word} as part of 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest Mens (ESPN), then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest Mens (ESPN) will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest Mens (ESPN) will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Commentary will count following the start of the Mens competition and end once the time has expired; if a tie occurs commentary will continue to count until the conclusion of the sudden death eat-off.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on any ESPN broadcast announcer, excluding the ring announcer speaking in an official capacity. If any ESPN broadcast announcer, excluding the ring announcer is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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