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NASA holds Artemis III Announcement

What will NASA say during the Artemis III Announcement?

Held

Tue, Jun 9

11:00 AM ET /

General

Speech / announcement

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +3 later

10 said 7 not said of 17 words

Not held 1 of 44 past General events, 0 of 9 speeches / announcements

Choose events
Word Result Before start All General events Speeches / announcements Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore10¢ All0/6 0% Speeches / announcements— N N N N N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / announcements— Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All3/6 50% Speeches / announcements— Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore81¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore92¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore79¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / announcements— Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore13¢ All0/8 0% Speeches / announcements— N N N N N
NO Before startBefore37¢ All5/9 56% Speeches / announcements— N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore77¢ All14/14 100% Speeches / announcements— Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore68¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / announcements— Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore64¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / announcements— Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All2/8 25% Speeches / announcements— N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore81¢ All2/14 14% Speeches / announcements— N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore15¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / announcements— N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All3/5 60% Speeches / announcements— Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore36¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / announcements— Y N N N
YES Before startBefore22¢ All6/12 50% Speeches / announcements— N N Y Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past General events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / announcements. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • For the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original NASA broadcast will be used for resolution.
  • The event will resolve based on any NASA representative speaking in an official capacity.
  • If any NASA representative is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If any NASA representative says {word} as part of NASA's Artemis III Announcement, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the NASA's Artemis III Announcement will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the NASA's Artemis III Announcement will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
For the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original NASA broadcast will be used for resolution.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on any NASA representative speaking in an official capacity. If any NASA representative is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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