Anthropic vs Department of War hearing
What will be said during the hearing on Anthropic vs Department of War?
Held
Tue, Mar 24
4:30 PM ET /
General
Other
Also now +3 later
11 said 6 not said of 17 words
Not held 1 of 8 past General events
Last 5: Said Not said
No past events with this word yet.
No past events with this word yet.
No past events with this word yet.
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | RFK talks about One Year of MAHA | Other | YES | — | — | 1.2k | past market |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Bad Bunny Super Bowl Halftime Show Press Conference | Press conference | NO | — | — | 9.5k | past market |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Kristi Noem holds a press conference | Press conference | YES | — | — | 2k | past market |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hakeem Jeffries joins PoliticsNation | Interview | YES | — | — | 1.1k | past market |
How to read a row
- k/n: said in k of n past General events where the word was a market.
- Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
- small n fewer than 5 past events.
- Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.
Rules
Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico
Special for this event
- Video of the hearing on Anthropic PBC v. U.S. Department of War will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the hearing on Anthropic PBC v. U.S. Department of War will be used.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
- If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
- The event will resolve based on any Anthropic or U.S. Department of War representative speaking in an official capacity.
- If any Anthropic or U.S. Department of War representative is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
- If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.
Each market: If any Anthropic or U.S. Department of War representative says {word} as part of hearing on Anthropic PBC v. U.S. Department of War, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules
Video of the hearing on Anthropic PBC v. U.S. Department of War will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the hearing on Anthropic PBC v. U.S. Department of War will be used.
Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.
Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on any Anthropic or U.S. Department of War representative speaking in an official capacity. If any Anthropic or U.S. Department of War representative is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Cases
No cases for this series yet. Case library