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ESPN First Take

What will Stephen A. Smith say during ESPN: First Take?

Held

Fri, May 8

10:00 AM ET /

General

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7 said 7 not said of 14 words

Not held 1 of 33 past General events

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Word Result Before start All General events Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

NO Before startBefore15¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore27¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore79¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore7¢ All2/4 50% Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All0/1 0% N
NO Before startBefore13¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore53¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore47¢ All0/2 0% N N
YES Before startBefore71¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore99¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore76¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore82¢ All1/1 100% Y
NO Before startBefore25¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore12¢ All0/3 0% N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past General events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • The event will resolve based on Stephen A. Smith speaking in an official capacity.
  • If Stephen A. Smith is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Stephen A. Smith says {word} as part of ESPN: First Take on May 8th, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the ESPN: First Take on May 8th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the ESPN: First Take on May 8th will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Stephen A. Smith speaking in an official capacity. If Stephen A. Smith is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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