Tom Brady delivers Georgetown commencement speech
What will Tom Brady say during his Georgetown commencement speech?
Held
Sat, May 16
2:20 PM ET /
General
Speech / announcement
Also now JD Vance +2 later
7 said 6 not said of 13 words
Not held 1 of 36 past General events, 0 of 6 speeches / announcements
Last 5: Said Not said Other format
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Michael Saylor delivers his Bitcoin Keynote Speech | Speech / announcement | YES | 72¢ | 72¢ | 2.5k | past market |
| Mar 27, 2026 | David Ellison at the FII Priority Summit | Speech / announcement | YES | 67¢ | 61¢ | 3.3k | past market |
No past events with this word yet.
No past events with this word yet.
No past events with this word yet.
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Mike Vrabel holds a Press Conference | Press conference | YES | — | 70¢ | 1.8k | past market |
No past events with this word yet.
No past events with this word yet.
No past events with this word yet.
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | Bad Bunny Super Bowl Halftime Show Press Conference | Press conference | NO | — | — | 21.6k | past market |
No past events with this word yet.
No past events with this word yet.
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Mike Vrabel holds a Press Conference | Press conference | NO | — | 1¢ | 3.1k | past market |
No past events with this word yet.
How to read a row
- k/n: said in k of n past General events where the word was a market.
- Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / announcements. Last 5 runs newest first.
- small n fewer than 5 past events.
- Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.
Rules
Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico
Special for this event
- The event will resolve based on Tom Brady speaking in an official capacity.
- If Tom Brady is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.
Each market: If Tom Brady says {word} as part of McDonough School of Business Undergraduate Commencement 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules
Video of the McDonough School of Business Undergraduate Commencement 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the McDonough School of Business Undergraduate Commencement 2026 will be used.
Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.
Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Tom Brady speaking in an official capacity. If Tom Brady is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Cases
No cases for this series yet. Case library