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Todd Blanche holds a fraud press conference

What will Todd Blanche say during his fraud press conference?

Held

Tue, Apr 7

1:00 PM ET /

General Politics

Press conference

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5 said 9 not said of 14 words

Not held 0 of 27 past General Politics events, 0 of 7 press conferences

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Word Result Before start All General Politics events Press conferences Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore— All2/5 40% Press conferences1/3 33% small n N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore— All1/1 100% Press conferences— Y
NO Before startBefore— All— Press conferences— —
NO Before startBefore— All4/8 50% Press conferences3/4 75% small n Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore— All5/10 50% Press conferences0/3 0% small n Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All1/8 13% Press conferences0/1 0% small n N N N N N
YES Before startBefore— All3/6 50% Press conferences0/1 0% small n Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Press conferences0/1 0% small n N
NO Before startBefore— All7/11 64% Press conferences1/3 33% small n N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Press conferences— N
YES Before startBefore— All2/3 67% Press conferences1/2 50% small n Y Y N
YES Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Press conferences— N
YES Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Press conferences0/1 0% small n N
NO Before startBefore— All4/6 67% Press conferences2/2 100% small n Y Y Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past General Politics events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Press conferences. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • The event will resolve based on Todd Blanche speaking in an official capacity.
  • If Todd Blanche is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Todd Blanche says {word} as part of press conference regarding new developments in the Trump Administration’s anti-fraud efforts, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the press conference regarding new developments in the Trump Administration’s anti-fraud efforts will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the press conference regarding new developments in the Trump Administration’s anti-fraud efforts will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Todd Blanche speaking in an official capacity. If Todd Blanche is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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