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Clacton by-election winner acceptance speech

What will the Clacton by-election winner say during their acceptance speech?

Not held (DNQ)

Fri, Aug 14

12:00 AM ET /

General Politics

Speech / announcement

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0 said 11 not said of 11 words

Not held 3 of 78 past General Politics events, 2 of 13 speeches / announcements

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Word Result Before start All General Politics events Speeches / announcements Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore9¢ All17/32 53% Speeches / announcements3/5 60% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore3¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore19¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore1¢ All3/7 43% Speeches / announcements1/2 50% small n N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore11¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore3¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / announcements— Y N N N
NO Before startBefore11¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore2¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore18¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore2¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore6¢ All29/39 74% Speeches / announcements3/5 60% Y Y N N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past General Politics events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / announcements. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • The Clacton by-election winner acceptance speech will include remarks delivered by the winning candidate at the count venue, beginning after the returning officer's declaration of the result and ending when the candidate ceases speaking and leaves the podium or stage.
  • Pre-declaration remarks, interviews or comments made on the count floor, remarks to press after leaving the stage, and any subsequent press conference, rally, or other appearance shall not count, regardless of how such remarks are characterized.
  • The event will resolve based on Clacton by-election winner speaking in an official capacity.
  • Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Clacton by-election winner must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Clacton by-election winner says {word} as part of Clacton by-election winner acceptance speech, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Clacton by-election winner acceptance speech will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Clacton by-election winner acceptance speech will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
The Clacton by-election winner acceptance speech will include remarks delivered by the winning candidate at the count venue, beginning after the returning officer's declaration of the result and ending when the candidate ceases speaking and leaves the podium or stage. Pre-declaration remarks, interviews or comments made on the count floor, remarks to press after leaving the stage, and any subsequent press conference, rally, or other appearance shall not count, regardless of how such remarks are characterized.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Clacton by-election winner speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Clacton by-election winner must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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