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Ted Cruz MS NOW interview

What will Ted Cruz say during his MS NOW interview?

Held

Tue, Aug 25

5:00 AM ET /

General Politics

Interview

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Hegseth Adobe +2 later

1 said 12 not said of 13 words

Not held 4 of 79 past General Politics events, 0 of 29 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All General Politics events Interviews Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore24¢ All3/6 50% Interviews3/4 75% small n N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore35¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore70¢ All12/24 50% Interviews5/8 63% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore65¢ All15/29 52% Interviews8/13 62% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore42¢ All10/21 48% Interviews4/5 80% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore64¢ All1/1 100% Interviews1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore44¢ All7/24 29% Interviews5/12 42% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore67¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore48¢ All0/2 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n N N
YES Before startBefore80¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore78¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore36¢ All3/12 25% Interviews3/5 60% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore53¢ All21/28 75% Interviews10/11 91% N Y Y Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past General Politics events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Video of the MS NOW Way Too Early with Ali Vitali or Morning Joe on August 25th, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
  • If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the MS NOW Way Too Early with Ali Vitali or Morning Joe on August 25th, 2026 will be used.
  • The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
  • Ted Cruz speaking in an official capacity.
  • For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.
  • Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream.
  • Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
  • The entirety of content within the original broadcast will be used for resolution.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Ted Cruz says {word} as part of MS NOW Way Too Early with Ali Vitali or Morning Joe on August 25th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the MS NOW Way Too Early with Ali Vitali or Morning Joe on August 25th, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the MS NOW Way Too Early with Ali Vitali or Morning Joe on August 25th, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Ted Cruz speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
The entirety of content within the original broadcast will be used for resolution.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

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