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Raphael Warnock joins All in with Chris Hayes

What will Raphael Warnock say during his MS NOW interview?

Held

Wed, Mar 18

8:00 PM ET /

General Politics

Interview

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4 said 5 not said of 9 words

Not held 0 of 13 past General Politics events, 0 of 6 interviews

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Word Result Before start All General Politics events Interviews Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore— All2/5 40% Interviews0/3 0% small n Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore— All1/5 20% Interviews1/2 50% small n N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Interviews— N
NO Before startBefore— All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore— All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore— All4/6 67% Interviews2/3 67% small n N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Interviews— N
NO Before startBefore— All1/3 33% Interviews— N Y N
YES Before startBefore— All9/11 82% Interviews5/6 83% Y Y N Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past General Politics events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • Video of the MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes will be used.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
  • The event will resolve based on Raphael Warnock speaking in an official capacity.
  • If Raphael Warnock is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
  • If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Raphael Warnock says {word} as part of MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Raphael Warnock speaking in an official capacity. If Raphael Warnock is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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