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RFK in Dept of HHS Budget hearing

What will RFK say during the Dept of HHS Budget hearing?

Held

Tue, Apr 21

9:45 AM ET /

RFK

Other

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance +2 later

12 said 3 not said of 15 words

Not held 0 of 1 past RFK event

Choose events
Word Result Before start All RFK events Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

YES Before startBefore76¢ All0/1 0% N
YES Before startBefore46¢ All0/1 0% N
YES Before startBefore59¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore89¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore95¢ All1/1 100% Y
YES Before startBefore92¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore94¢ All1/1 100% Y
YES Before startBefore92¢ All1/1 100% Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All1/1 100% Y
NO Before startBefore52¢ All0/1 0% N
YES Before startBefore45¢ All1/1 100% Y
NO Before startBefore32¢ All0/1 0% N
YES Before startBefore94¢ All1/1 100% Y
YES Before startBefore74¢ All1/1 100% Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past RFK events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says {word} as part of Health Subcommittee: The Fiscal Year 2027 Department of Health and Human Services Budget, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Health Subcommittee: The Fiscal Year 2027 Department of Health and Human Services Budget will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Health Subcommittee: The Fiscal Year 2027 Department of Health and Human Services Budget will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Robert F. Kennedy Jr. speaking in an official capacity. If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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