mentions.tools

We moved to mentions.tools. Your data stays here until you .

White House Press Briefing

What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing?

Held

Wed, Jan 7

11:00 AM ET /

Press Secretary

Press conference

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

14 said 21 not said of 35 words

Not held 1 of 42 past Press Secretary events, 1 of 42 press conferences

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Press Secretary events Press conferences Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

YES Before startBefore57¢ All2/3 67% Press conferences2/3 67% small n Y N Y
NO Before startBefore28¢ All— Press conferences— —
NO Before startBefore20¢ All2/7 29% Press conferences2/7 29% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore23¢ All— Press conferences— —
YES Before startBefore87¢ All19/19 100% Press conferences19/19 100% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore78¢ All18/21 86% Press conferences18/21 86% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore57¢ All18/30 60% Press conferences18/30 60% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore27¢ All1/1 100% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All0/6 0% Press conferences0/6 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore27¢ All1/7 14% Press conferences1/7 14% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore50¢ All0/2 0% Press conferences0/2 0% small n N N
YES Before startBefore79¢ All1/2 50% Press conferences1/2 50% small n Y N
YES Before startBefore80¢ All0/4 0% Press conferences0/4 0% small n N N N N
YES Before startBefore67¢ All1/4 25% Press conferences1/4 25% small n Y N N N
NO Before startBefore60¢ All4/7 57% Press conferences4/7 57% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore64¢ All7/8 88% Press conferences7/8 88% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore29¢ All16/26 62% Press conferences16/26 62% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All— Press conferences— —
YES Before startBefore76¢ All— Press conferences— —
YES Before startBefore70¢ All3/3 100% Press conferences3/3 100% small n Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All— Press conferences— —
YES Before startBefore92¢ All— Press conferences— —
NO Before startBefore30¢ All1/3 33% Press conferences1/3 33% small n N Y N
NO Before startBefore39¢ All1/2 50% Press conferences1/2 50% small n Y N
YES Before startBefore72¢ All11/17 65% Press conferences11/17 65% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore28¢ All— Press conferences— —
YES Before startBefore78¢ All— Press conferences— —
NO Before startBefore33¢ All0/4 0% Press conferences0/4 0% small n N N N N
NO Before startBefore11¢ All0/7 0% Press conferences0/7 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore39¢ All3/5 60% Press conferences3/5 60% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore59¢ All16/28 57% Press conferences16/28 57% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore71¢ All5/7 71% Press conferences5/7 71% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore49¢ All0/3 0% Press conferences0/3 0% small n N N N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All0/2 0% Press conferences0/2 0% small n N N
YES Before startBefore73¢ All— Press conferences— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Press Secretary events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: White House, White House Press Secretary

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If the White House Press Secretary says {word} at the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles), then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles) will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles) will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details.

Cases

All cases of this speaker