Ariana Grande on SNL
What will Ariana Grande say during Saturday Night Live?
Held
Sat, Dec 20
11:00 PM ET /
SNL
Other
Also now +3 later
2 said 8 not said of 10 words
Not held 1 of 8 past SNL events
Last 5: Said Not said
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Saturday Night Live | Other | YES | — | — | 86.1k | past market |
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Saturday Night Live | Other | NO | — | — | 21.5k | past market |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Saturday Night Live | Other | YES | — | — | 17.8k | past market |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Saturday Night Live | Other | YES | — | — | 13.2k | past market |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Saturday Night Live | Other | NO | — | — | 11.2k | past market |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Saturday Night Live | Other | NO | — | — | 16k | past market |
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Saturday Night Live | Other | NO | — | — | 34.4k | past market |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Saturday Night Live | Other | NO | — | — | 26.5k | past market |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Saturday Night Live | Other | YES | — | — | 12.1k | past market |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Saturday Night Live | Other | YES | — | — | 6.4k | past market |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Saturday Night Live | Other | YES | — | — | 34.2k | past market |
How to read a row
- k/n: said in k of n past SNL events where the word was a market.
- Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
- small n fewer than 5 past events.
- Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.
Rules
Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico
Standard rules for this series.
Each market: If Ariana Grande says {word} as part of Saturday Night Live starting on December 20th, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules
Video of the Saturday Night Live starting on December 20th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Saturday Night Live starting on December 20th will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. Previous recordings aired during this event will count.
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