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SNL Weekend Update

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update?

Held

Sat, May 16

11:30 PM ET /

SNL

Other

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance +2 later

7 said 11 not said of 18 words

Not held 1 of 20 past SNL events

Choose events
Word Result Before start All SNL events Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

YES Before startBefore33¢ All1/4 25% N Y N N
NO Before startBefore13¢ All0/1 0% N
NO Before startBefore27¢ All1/3 33% N Y N
NO Before startBefore26¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore98¢ All0/1 0% N
NO Before startBefore14¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore55¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore50¢ All2/2 100% Y Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore54¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore83¢ All2/2 100% Y Y
NO Before startBefore23¢ All1/3 33% N N Y
NO Before startBefore55¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore32¢ All1/3 33% Y N N
YES Before startBefore30¢ All0/1 0% N
YES Before startBefore50¢ All1/2 50% N Y
YES Before startBefore81¢ All1/2 50% N Y
NO Before startBefore23¢ All— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past SNL events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If any participating SNL cast says {word} as part of Saturday Night Live: Weekend Update, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Saturday Night Live: Weekend Update will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Saturday Night Live: Weekend Update will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on any participating SNL cast speaking in an official capacity. If any participating SNL cast is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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