mentions.tools

We moved to mentions.tools. Your data stays here until you .

What will Trump say this week?

Held

Mon, Feb 16, 12:00 AM ET → Sun, Feb 22, midnight ET /

Trump

Week

Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

16 said 10 not said of 26 words

Not held 1 of 21 past Trump weekly windows

Word Result All Trump weeks Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

YES All— —
YES All15/18 83% Y Y Y Y Y
YES All15/20 75% Y Y Y N N
NO All— —
YES All6/12 50% Y N N Y Y
YES All2/3 67% N Y Y
NO All7/20 35% N Y N Y N
NO All1/1 100% Y
YES All6/14 43% N Y N N N
YES All5/18 28% Y Y Y N N
YES All16/18 89% Y Y Y Y Y
NO All0/3 0% N N N
NO All1/20 5% N N N N N
YES All15/20 75% Y Y Y Y N
NO All10/11 91% N Y Y Y Y
YES All10/20 50% Y N Y Y Y
YES All2/4 50% N Y N Y
NO All11/20 55% N Y Y Y Y
YES All12/16 75% N N Y Y Y
YES All17/20 85% Y Y Y Y Y
NO All9/10 90% Y Y Y Y Y
YES All9/16 56% Y Y N Y N
NO All12/16 75% N Y Y Y Y
YES All6/7 86% Y Y Y Y Y
NO All5/7 71% N Y Y Y Y
YES All2/4 50% Y N N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump weeks where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past weeks.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, PBS, the President of the United States, CBS, NBC, Bloomberg, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico, The New York Times

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If {word}, or a plural or possessive form of {word}, is stated by Donald Trump before Feb 23, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social). Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. Grammatical inflections for plurals and possessives are included (e.g., "immigrant" includes "immigrants" and "immigrant's"), but other tense inflections, hyphenated compounds, and synonyms are not included. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. If the word must be said a minimum number of times, all instances must occur after market issuance.

Cases

No cases for this series yet. Case library