Marine Corp's 250th Anniversary
What will JD Vance say during his speech at Camp Pendleton?
Held
Sat, Oct 18
5:30 PM ET /
JD Vance
Speech / ceremony
Also now Trump +1 later
13 said 10 not said of 23 words
Not held 0 of 3 past JD Vance events, 0 of 3 speeches / ceremonies
Last 5: Said Not said
No past events with this word yet.
No past events with this word yet.
No past events with this word yet.
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | JD Vance Speech | Speech / ceremony | YES | 55¢ | 18¢ | 10k | past market |
| Jul 16, 2025 | What will JD Vance say during the Remarks on the passage of the Big Beautiful Bill Act? | Speech / ceremony | YES | — | — | 2.4k | past market |
No past events with this word yet.
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | JD Vance Speech | Speech / ceremony | YES | 69¢ | 76¢ | 2.6k | past market |
No past events with this word yet.
No past events with this word yet.
No past events with this word yet.
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Charlie Kirk Memorial | Speech / ceremony | NO | 9¢ | 1¢ | 448 | past market |
No past events with this word yet.
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2025 | What will JD Vance say during the Remarks on the passage of the Big Beautiful Bill Act? | Speech / ceremony | NO | — | — | 1.2k | past market |
No past events with this word yet.
No past events with this word yet.
No past events with this word yet.
No past events with this word yet.
No past events with this word yet.
No past events with this word yet.
No past events with this word yet.
No past events with this word yet.
No past events with this word yet.
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | JD Vance Speech | Speech / ceremony | NO | 55¢ | 1¢ | 1.1k | past market |
No past events with this word yet.
How to read a row
- k/n: said in k of n past JD Vance events where the word was a market.
- Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
- small n fewer than 5 past events.
- Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.
Rules
Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico
Special for this event
- If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.
Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.
Each market: If JD Vance says {word} as part of speech at Camp Pendleton for Marine Corps' 250th Anniversary celebration on October 18th, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules
Video of the speech at Camp Pendleton for Marine Corps' 250th Anniversary celebration on October 18th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the speech at Camp Pendleton for Marine Corps' 250th Anniversary celebration on October 18th will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.
Cases
- Since March 2026 a closed or cancelled event pays the “Event does not qualify” market Confirmed Mar 31, 2026