Christopher Waller delivers remarks At the International Research Forum on Monetary Policy

What will Fed Gov Waller say during his discussion At the International Research Forum on Monetary Policy?

Held

Tue, May 19

8:00 AM ET /

Waller

Speech / announcement

Also now JD Vance +2 later

4 said 8 not said of 12 words

Not held 0 of 3 past Waller events, 0 of 3 speeches / announcements

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Waller events Speeches / announcements Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

YES Before startBefore71¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore5¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore36¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / announcements1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore89¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / announcements1/3 33% small n N N Y
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore79¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore62¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / announcements1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore74¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore71¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / announcements1/2 50% small n N Y
NO Before startBefore45¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore53¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Waller events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

No other event of this series closed in the 60 days before this one, so there is nothing to compare these rules with.

Each market: If Christopher Waller says {word} as part of Discussion At the International Research Forum on Monetary Policy, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Discussion At the International Research Forum on Monetary Policy will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Discussion At the International Research Forum on Monetary Policy will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Christopher Waller speaking in an official capacity. If Christopher Waller is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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