Christopher Waller speaks at İstanbul Economic Forum

What will Fed Gov Waller say during his Economic Outlook remarks?

Held

Thu, Oct 8

4:30 AM ET /

Waller

Speech / announcement

Also now Adobe General Politics +2 later

10 said 6 not said of 16 words

Not held 0 of 1 past Waller event, 0 of 1 speech / announcement

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Waller events Speeches / announcements Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

YES Before startBefore77¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / announcements1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore5¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore27¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore95¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / announcements0/1 0% small n N
YES Before startBefore94¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / announcements1/1 100% small n Y
YES Before startBefore79¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / announcements1/1 100% small n Y
YES Before startBefore55¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore73¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / announcements1/1 100% small n Y
YES Before startBefore60¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore36¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore7¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore34¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore84¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / announcements0/1 0% small n N
NO Before startBefore7¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore21¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Waller events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Christopher Waller says {word} as part of remarks on Economic Outlook at the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye (TCMB) İstanbul Economic Forum originally scheduled for October 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the remarks on Economic Outlook at the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye (TCMB) İstanbul Economic Forum originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the remarks on Economic Outlook at the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye (TCMB) İstanbul Economic Forum originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Christopher Waller speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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